Deposit Growth

Deposit Armageddon or Opportunity?

5 mins read
October 9, 2023
By
Mike Waterston
To retain depositors, financial institutions need to focus on relationship banking.
By James White, General Manager of Banking

For banking leaders, “rates-up” environments aren’t the boogeyman. In fact, they’ve wanted an upward movement in rates for a long time—about 15 years. It’s easier for institutions to make money when rates are at historical averages, rather than at historic lows. In a business where profit depends on the margin between the yield on earning assets and the cost of funds, there are more opportunities when you can work on both ends of that margin.

The grave risk facing financial institutions is that deposit-side competition is an atrophied muscle. Their risk isn’t a ”deposit Armageddon” caused by external factors, though pressure is certainly mounting. Rather, it’s an internal crisis brought on by years spent in an artificial reality of funding security. Institutions have had more deposits than they’ve known what to do with, so they didn’t need to worry about price. Now, they’ll need to show that they can compete with a balance of both price and service.

Relationships will become a key antidote to price competition. The differentiator, though, will be about which institutions consumers see as truly providing relationship banking. Value will soon sift institutions. There will be those who excel at deposit relationships and drive higher profits by managing the cost of funds, and then there will be those who see deposit outflow and precipitous increases in funding costs as they’ll have to look elsewhere to secure funding.  

“Relationship” must mean something much more than window-dressing; it must mean solving the problems on most customers’ or members’ minds if they hope to stave off price-driven attrition.

Finding safe returns

Right now, banking leaders are being kept awake at night by the ever-increasing and ever-improving options for safety and higher yield available to consumers with each passing month. For 15 years, the S&P 500 and alternative investments like cryptocurrencies have been the ONLY option for returns above 1% for first-time homebuyers, savers, and retirees. There’s an obvious pain point: return on investment for consumers has meant risk—and a lot of it. There has been no safe, government-guaranteed means of investment that offers an attractive rate of return.  

Now, though, the federal funds rate has climbed to 5.5%, the highest level since the Great Recession of 2008. Financial institutions now compete with the U.S. Treasury, which offers bonds over 5% at the time of this writing. Private firms, too, such as Edward Jones offering 5.45% for a year-long certificate of deposit (CD); Synchrony promoting 4.75% on savings accounts; Capital One with 5.25% CDs, and American Express with 5.00% CDs are stepping in.  

For investors in equities or cryptocurrencies, the new rate environment is a beacon of hope. With cryptocurrency in a seemingly perpetual state of flux, and the bears wreaking havoc in the stock market, 5% on an FDIC-insured CD sounds quite appealing. Those investors will seek a newer, safer harbor for their money, and competitors are already dangling offers to steal your accounts.

Providing accountholders with education and options is the kind of relationship banking people need today.

Looking for a financial home

Competitors’ aggressive pricing is one good reason for worrying about deposit attrition. But there’s a deeper, emotional movement happening that offers both risk and significant opportunity for banks and credit unions. Consumers, especially savers, many of whom have parked cash at their institutions for years, are looking for their financial forever home.  

Low rates on loans have supported borrowers’ financial dreams well. Savers such as first-time homebuyers and retirees–have struggled significantly.  

For example, among consumer cohorts now in their 20s and 30s, saving to purchase a home is a priority for less than 20%. That same cohort, though, says buying a home is a top priority, according to data gathered by Plinqit, a saving technology platform founded in 2018. First-time homebuyers need enough for a 3% down payment, they just don’t think that’s attainable, the platform reported in a webinar published by BankBeat.  

Those in or preparing for retirement have been in a similar camp. Pre-retirees, those aged 50 to 64, face a critical retirement challenge. According to a McKinsey & Company’s survey of 9,000 U.S. households, as many as 80% of baby boomers may be unprepared for retirement, and they must overcome “decumulation,” or the process of converting savings for retirement into a consistent and sufficient stream of income that lasts through retirement. “Many prospective retirees feel that they lack assets and the financial know-how they need for a confident retirement,” McKinsey Insights reported.  

It’s not just about the money for consumers across the age spectrum. They’ll seek higher and safer returns because having a home, a rainy-day fund, or a well-funded retirement (i.e., their financial needs and dreams) will depend on it.  

Providing accountholders with education and options is the kind of relationship banking people need today. Those institutions that help make their financial needs and dreams a reality have the best chance of remaining, or becoming, depositors’ financial home.  

Free to leave

We spoke with Neil Stanley, CEO and Founder of The CorePoint in Omaha, NE, who said that “consumers will put their money to work somewhere, and banking organizations will see deposit balances decay. So, they’ll either have to pay to keep those deposits, or they’ll need to understand and tailor their products in valuable ways.”  

The banking press has covered technology’s effect on deposit movements often. It’s generally understood that money can move today like never before. But is technology the only grease in those gears? Not even close. The Federal Reserve Board removed prohibitions that seemed insignificant during a time when institutions were cash flush—such as the prohibition on paying interest on commercial accounts or limiting the number of transactions from a savings account—that make moving money even easier.  

“No bank will rush to pay interest on commercial accounts,” said Stanley. “And transactions on savings accounts aren’t onerous in themselves, but they create even less regulatory friction than before for rate competition and depositor movement.”  

Then there’s the composition of core deposits at banking organizations. Only 14% of core deposits have maturities—the lowest level of tied-down deposits going back more than 35 years. And those non-interest-bearing accounts that banking leaders love—the ones that a competitor could pay interest on—have no commitment to stay from the depositor whatsoever.  

Depositors are on the move. A rising rate environment incentivizes consumers to seek providers who will help them change what has been a dire landscape for savers into a clear road toward strong financial outcomes. Quantitative tightening is also removing deposits from circulation, and depositors are starting to shift, so financial institutions must choose: Let chance decide which depositors stay or go or use engagement and education to show them you are their financial forever home.

ON-DEMAND WEBINAR

At Any Rate: How to Drive Deposit Growth & Retention

Watch this on-demand webinar for more insights on what’s pushing depositors to seek new homes for their hard-earned money and strategies for how modern banks can retain their existing accounts while enticing new deposits.

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Change is the one constant in financial services, but the way we respond to it separates the leaders from the pack. The newly signed Homebuyer Privacy Protection Act (HPPA)—taking effect in March 2026—is a shift in how lenders can access and use consumer credit data. However, while some may view this as another regulatory headache, the reality is far more encouraging: it’s an opportunity to raise the bar on trust, transparency, and customer experience.  It’s another validation of our “Customer for Life” strategy.

This isn’t about dodging restrictions. It’s about recognizing that the playbook for winning customers is evolving—and those who embrace that evolution will come out stronger.

What’s changing?

Under the HPPA, credit bureaus can no longer sell a consumer’s credit file unless the lender meets one of a few narrow conditions:

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There’s even a GAO study on the way, examining how trigger-lead solicitations via text messaging impact consumers—a clear sign regulators are watching the fine line between engagement and harassment.

For lenders who have long relied on trigger leads, this represents a fundamental shift. But for institutions that have invested in building relationships the right way, this is good news.

What this means for lenders

The HPPA shuts the door on spray-and-pray solicitation tactics. But it opens the door wider for lenders who want to compete on trust and relationship strength. Specifically, it creates new opportunities to:

  • Deepen existing customer relationships with proactive, personalized engagement.
  • Capture consent earlier in the journey, before borrowers get lost in a flood of noise.
  • Differentiate in a less crowded, more consumer-friendly marketplace where trust is a true competitive advantage.

The lenders who lean in here will win—not because they shouted the loudest, but because they earned the right to stay connected.

Why this isn’t just another regulatory headache

Consumers have been saying it for years: the barrage of calls, texts, and emails after a mortgage application is exhausting. Some borrowers receive 100+ solicitations within 24 hours. That doesn’t build confidence—it erodes it. And we know this is not how our TE customers run their business.

HPPA represents a rare alignment of regulators, consumer advocates, and lenders themselves. It clears away predatory noise, improves the homebuying experience, and rewards lenders who put relationships at the center of their strategy.

As our Founder & CEO Joe Welu often reminds us, “Trust is the currency of modern financial services.” This law is an accelerant for lenders who understand that principle.

How we're going to help you thrive in a post-HPPA world

We’re not sitting on the sidelines waiting to see how this plays out. Our platform was purpose-built to help lenders engage customers in a way that’s personal, compliant, and built to last. Here’s how we’re making sure you’re ready for March 2026:

  • Proactive guidance: Our mortgage and tech experts are already helping lenders adjust monitoring practices, so they stay compliant without losing momentum.
  • Expand Customer Intelligence: We’re finalizing new capabilities to drive increased awareness and enrichment of your relationships, including expanding CI to all three bureaus, and streamlining our credit improvement alert.
  • Investments in consent: Upgraded features coming soon to capture and respect consumer consent in clear, frictionless ways—including through our ecosystem partnerships.

This isn’t a band-aid or a reaction; it’s an evolution of how modern lenders build sustainable engagement to develop customers for life.

Bottom line: this isn’t a roadblock—it’s an opportunity

Every regulatory change comes with friction. But HPPA isn’t just about compliance—it’s about clarity. It’s about stripping away noise and giving lenders who prioritize relationships a stage to shine.

The lenders who thrive in this new environment won’t be the ones chasing trigger leads. They’ll be the ones investing in trusted, personalized engagement—from first touch through every financial milestone.

And that’s exactly what Total Expert was built to help you do: navigate the shifts, build lifelong trust, and continue winning customers for life.

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AI has surged from curious novelty to critical business driver faster than any other technology in the digital age. With AI capabilities evolving faster than most financial institutions (FIs) and marketing teams can train for, it’s easy to understand how leveraging AI tools and enterprise solutions effectively can become a frustrating experience for both leadership and marketing pros.

While every organization’s challenges are unique, one common thread is that most FIs lack a clearly defined strategy or framework for selecting, implementing, and using their AI solutions.

Here are three foundational elements to help marketing leaders accelerate AI-enabled customer engagement without losing control of authentic, on-brand customer experiences.

Focus on using AI to scale—not replace—your team

The AI revolution arrives with ironic timing for FIs: We’ve spent the last decade talking about how to bring back the human touch in a digital-first world. On the surface, it’s easy to think that AI will push us in the opposite direction—breeding more generic, cold, impersonal experiences.

But like other tech tools, the most immediate and significant value will come in using AI as a tool to scale your team’s capabilities. What does that look like in practice?

  • Automating or offloading the tedious and repetitive work your team does: Think about AI agents cold-calling for lead gen, doing time-consuming data analysis, or handling the orchestration of complicated, multi-touch, multi-channel, anything-but-linear customer journeys.
  • Unlocking deeper insights, faster: AI can dive into your customer data to find new kinds of intent signals in real time. Imagine identifying those key periods of transition or change in peoples’ lives—graduating, getting married, starting a family, changing careers, retiring—so your team can show up for customers at these critical moments.
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Choose the right AI—and connect it to your core systems

Not even three years after ChatGPT opened this AI era, there are thousands of AI tools on the market—including hundreds of marketing-specific AI solutions. Don’t be fooled by the “they’re all the same under the hood” line—the packaging is critical to the usability and time-to-value with these tools, especially when it comes to delivering authentic experiences.

It’s really a classic Goldilocks problem: On one side of the spectrum, the big-name generalist AI platforms that claim to do everything produce generic experiences for your customers. They’re not built for the highly regulated, highly sensitive kinds of engagement and conversations that FIs have with their customers. Plus, it takes a lot of work—and time and money—to get them to work like you need them to.

On the other side of the spectrum are hyper-specialized AI apps built to do one very specific task right out of the box—but lacking the broader capabilities to connect with your core systems and orchestrate entire experiences. This kind of extremely focused functionality ends up creating maddening experiences for customers when they hit the limitations of the tools’ knowledge and capabilities. FIs need AI tools built with enterprise-grade, enterprise-wide capabilities—able to tie into your marketing system of record so they can see and orchestrate the full customer journey.

If you can solve that Goldilocks problem — finding an AI solution built for financial services and connecting it at the core of your CX — you can realize the full efficiencies and, more importantly, deliver a more genuine, helpful, brand-authentic experience.

Give your AI the inputs that set it up for success

Using GenAI to create content — copy, design, video, etc. — really can feel like magic. But the reality is that it’s inherently derivative. In other words, the outputs are only as good as the inputs — like the classic analytics adage: garbage in, garbage out.

If you want to maintain brand authenticity, create reliably compliant outputs, and deliver consistent experiences that feel seamless for your customers, you need to help the AI fully understands your brand, your engagement strategy, and your acute and big-picture objectives.

Best practices for prompt engineering is an article—or an entire book—in itself. But the point is, as incredible as AI is, it’s still a tool — and a tool requires a skilled, intentional user. Cultivating these skills also takes intention. Workers in any role can feel naturally hesitant to be open about their AI use and experimentation; they don’t want to risk looking lazy or replaceable. But to move forward effectively with AI, FIs need to build a culture that encourages that experimentation and sharing of new use cases and best practices.

AI as an engine for authenticity

There’s little doubt that AI will lead to a surge in impersonal, generic banking experiences. That’s not a condemnation of AI; it will be the result of FIs using generic AI tools and generic AI strategies.

That also means that genuine, personalized experiences will become even more differentiated in this incredibly competitive industry. The key is to focus on how to use AI to amplify what we’ve always strived to do in this industry: make real connections and build authentic relationships based on trust.

By focusing on these three principles — using AI to help your team focus on scaling human connections, choosing the right tool and integrating it deeply, and giving your AI the best possible inputs — you’re building a strategy that makes AI an engine for authenticity. The reward isn't just increased efficiency; it's the ability to deliver authentic, brand-consistent experiences at a scale never before possible.

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