Deposit Growth

Deposit Armageddon or Opportunity?

5 mins read
October 9, 2023
By
Mike Waterston
To retain depositors, financial institutions need to focus on relationship banking.
By James White, General Manager of Banking

For banking leaders, “rates-up” environments aren’t the boogeyman. In fact, they’ve wanted an upward movement in rates for a long time—about 15 years. It’s easier for institutions to make money when rates are at historical averages, rather than at historic lows. In a business where profit depends on the margin between the yield on earning assets and the cost of funds, there are more opportunities when you can work on both ends of that margin.

The grave risk facing financial institutions is that deposit-side competition is an atrophied muscle. Their risk isn’t a ”deposit Armageddon” caused by external factors, though pressure is certainly mounting. Rather, it’s an internal crisis brought on by years spent in an artificial reality of funding security. Institutions have had more deposits than they’ve known what to do with, so they didn’t need to worry about price. Now, they’ll need to show that they can compete with a balance of both price and service.

Relationships will become a key antidote to price competition. The differentiator, though, will be about which institutions consumers see as truly providing relationship banking. Value will soon sift institutions. There will be those who excel at deposit relationships and drive higher profits by managing the cost of funds, and then there will be those who see deposit outflow and precipitous increases in funding costs as they’ll have to look elsewhere to secure funding.  

“Relationship” must mean something much more than window-dressing; it must mean solving the problems on most customers’ or members’ minds if they hope to stave off price-driven attrition.

Finding safe returns

Right now, banking leaders are being kept awake at night by the ever-increasing and ever-improving options for safety and higher yield available to consumers with each passing month. For 15 years, the S&P 500 and alternative investments like cryptocurrencies have been the ONLY option for returns above 1% for first-time homebuyers, savers, and retirees. There’s an obvious pain point: return on investment for consumers has meant risk—and a lot of it. There has been no safe, government-guaranteed means of investment that offers an attractive rate of return.  

Now, though, the federal funds rate has climbed to 5.5%, the highest level since the Great Recession of 2008. Financial institutions now compete with the U.S. Treasury, which offers bonds over 5% at the time of this writing. Private firms, too, such as Edward Jones offering 5.45% for a year-long certificate of deposit (CD); Synchrony promoting 4.75% on savings accounts; Capital One with 5.25% CDs, and American Express with 5.00% CDs are stepping in.  

For investors in equities or cryptocurrencies, the new rate environment is a beacon of hope. With cryptocurrency in a seemingly perpetual state of flux, and the bears wreaking havoc in the stock market, 5% on an FDIC-insured CD sounds quite appealing. Those investors will seek a newer, safer harbor for their money, and competitors are already dangling offers to steal your accounts.

Providing accountholders with education and options is the kind of relationship banking people need today.

Looking for a financial home

Competitors’ aggressive pricing is one good reason for worrying about deposit attrition. But there’s a deeper, emotional movement happening that offers both risk and significant opportunity for banks and credit unions. Consumers, especially savers, many of whom have parked cash at their institutions for years, are looking for their financial forever home.  

Low rates on loans have supported borrowers’ financial dreams well. Savers such as first-time homebuyers and retirees–have struggled significantly.  

For example, among consumer cohorts now in their 20s and 30s, saving to purchase a home is a priority for less than 20%. That same cohort, though, says buying a home is a top priority, according to data gathered by Plinqit, a saving technology platform founded in 2018. First-time homebuyers need enough for a 3% down payment, they just don’t think that’s attainable, the platform reported in a webinar published by BankBeat.  

Those in or preparing for retirement have been in a similar camp. Pre-retirees, those aged 50 to 64, face a critical retirement challenge. According to a McKinsey & Company’s survey of 9,000 U.S. households, as many as 80% of baby boomers may be unprepared for retirement, and they must overcome “decumulation,” or the process of converting savings for retirement into a consistent and sufficient stream of income that lasts through retirement. “Many prospective retirees feel that they lack assets and the financial know-how they need for a confident retirement,” McKinsey Insights reported.  

It’s not just about the money for consumers across the age spectrum. They’ll seek higher and safer returns because having a home, a rainy-day fund, or a well-funded retirement (i.e., their financial needs and dreams) will depend on it.  

Providing accountholders with education and options is the kind of relationship banking people need today. Those institutions that help make their financial needs and dreams a reality have the best chance of remaining, or becoming, depositors’ financial home.  

Free to leave

We spoke with Neil Stanley, CEO and Founder of The CorePoint in Omaha, NE, who said that “consumers will put their money to work somewhere, and banking organizations will see deposit balances decay. So, they’ll either have to pay to keep those deposits, or they’ll need to understand and tailor their products in valuable ways.”  

The banking press has covered technology’s effect on deposit movements often. It’s generally understood that money can move today like never before. But is technology the only grease in those gears? Not even close. The Federal Reserve Board removed prohibitions that seemed insignificant during a time when institutions were cash flush—such as the prohibition on paying interest on commercial accounts or limiting the number of transactions from a savings account—that make moving money even easier.  

“No bank will rush to pay interest on commercial accounts,” said Stanley. “And transactions on savings accounts aren’t onerous in themselves, but they create even less regulatory friction than before for rate competition and depositor movement.”  

Then there’s the composition of core deposits at banking organizations. Only 14% of core deposits have maturities—the lowest level of tied-down deposits going back more than 35 years. And those non-interest-bearing accounts that banking leaders love—the ones that a competitor could pay interest on—have no commitment to stay from the depositor whatsoever.  

Depositors are on the move. A rising rate environment incentivizes consumers to seek providers who will help them change what has been a dire landscape for savers into a clear road toward strong financial outcomes. Quantitative tightening is also removing deposits from circulation, and depositors are starting to shift, so financial institutions must choose: Let chance decide which depositors stay or go or use engagement and education to show them you are their financial forever home.

ON-DEMAND WEBINAR

At Any Rate: How to Drive Deposit Growth & Retention

Watch this on-demand webinar for more insights on what’s pushing depositors to seek new homes for their hard-earned money and strategies for how modern banks can retain their existing accounts while enticing new deposits.

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What a week. I walked into this industry ten months ago with fresh eyes, full of respect for the impact this industry has on people’s lives. After spending time with our clients and partners at Accelerate—during sessions, hallway conversations, and yes, even at the parties—that respect has deepened. This isn’t just an industry. This is a community of passionate, talented people who don’t simply originate loans or manage portfolios, they create life-changing opportunities for millions. You care deeply about doing this work, and I’m grateful to be building alongside you.

But here’s the thing: we’re at a turning point. What got us here, the strategies that helped us retain and grow in the past, are no longer good enough. You might say it is necessary, but not sufficient, and the cost of waiting is higher than the cost of change. The forces reshaping our industry aren’t on the horizon; they’re sitting at the table. AI technologies, increasingly complex compliance, mergers and acquisitions, shifting consumer demands. It’s not a question of whether we’ll adapt, it’s whether we’re adapting fast enough.  

That’s why, at Accelerate, Joe and I introduced the concept of the “new necessary” as part of our Aim Higher conference theme. Staying relevant (and competitive) requires more than awareness, automation, or clever content. It requires deep, enterprise-ready context that powers systems of intelligence and action. Systems where originators and AI work together in sync—always on, highly consistent, endlessly scalable. Your feedback, and the results we’ve seen so far, tell me we’re on the right track. And. Have a lot to do!

Throughout the conference, I spoke about four pillars of focus: Strengthening the Foundation, Customer IQ, Lead Management, and AI. Here’s a quick tour.

Strengthening the Foundation

This year, we doubled down on the foundation of Total Expert: improving core capabilities, enhancing performance, expanding our ecosystem, evolving user experience. At Accelerate, we demonstrated real progress: faster email delivery, more tools to utilize SMS, automated marketing packages, Sales Manager Dashboards, and new integrations. That’s great progress. More is necessary. We are on it!    

Customer IQ

Agentic AI enables business value when it’s fueled by rich, accurate, and timely context.  The insights and enrichment from Customer Intelligence is necessary and drives great business outcomes. However, more is needed to take full advantage of what’s possible with AI Agents acting as high-performing members of your team rather than wasting time and money on bland generic agents operating with limited context.

That’s why we announced Customer IQ. We are deepening our commitment to dramatically increase context across four dimensions; enrichment and insights, consent, contact/customer information, and relationship history.  As an early example, in December we’ll be releasing new capabilities to enable the collection and aggregation of consent from multiple systems directly into Total Expert. That means our AI Sales Assistant can instantly understand consent and act on it- accurately and efficiently. More context expansions are already queued up for 2026.

Lead Management: Reimagined

We’re launching the first release of our revamped Lead Management in February. This isn’t just a tune-up; it’s a rebuild. From lead ingestion and routing policies to loan officer workflows, admin tools, journey orchestration, and analytics—this release sets the stage for what’s coming next. And it’s just the beginning. Stay tuned for more updates soon.

Agentic AI and AI Services

At Accelerate, we showcased real results from the AI Sales Assistant. Four use cases are live today, and we’re handling millions of calls each month. This volume has accelerated performance most importantly, customer results. With the right combination of context, industry expertise, and integrations into business processes, we’ve unlocked a recipe for success. We’re continuing to expand on this, with exciting new use cases on the horizon.

We also shared our vision on Agentic Management, or the “control tower,” and our early work on AI services like Natural Language Interfaces. These are key to driving more intelligence, more automation, and better user experiences across the platform. A good example of this is the demo of the natural-language data interface, which was a personal highlight for me as a preview of the seamless, intuitive future we’re working toward.

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This is the new necessary.  

I’m incredibly fired up about our vision, our momentum, our roadmap, and the amazing work we get to do alongside our clients, partners, and teammates. At the end of the day, it’s not about the technology. It’s about the business value it enables. The customers who are leaning into what we’re building are becoming more competitive. Those that aren’t risk falling behind.

I hope that Accelerate, this post, and our community give you the inspiration and insights you need to chart your next steps toward the new necessary—the why, the how, and the when.  

Thank you, as always, for your feedback, your drive, and your partnership. Let’s keep moving toward the perfect customer journey!

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Smaller Lenders, Bigger Impact: Using Data to Deepen Personal Relationships

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Forming authentic relationships has always been the competitive edge for smaller lenders. And as the FinServ world has become more tech-driven and digital-first, credit unions and community banks have only leaned further into this powerful differentiator. But we’re seeing an interesting trend among some of the most successful small- to mid-market lenders: They’re recognizing that tech-enabled engagement is no longer mutually exclusive to genuine human connections. They’ve created powerful data-driven strategies that make it easier for them to build good, old-fashioned personal relationships.

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But how are they doing it in a financial landscape where consumers have more choices and competitors aren’t just in the building across the street?

Even close borrower relationships are growing more complex

Small- to mid-market lenders have been historically hesitant to embrace tech-powered, data-driven strategies because there was a concern that it would dehumanize their connections with borrowers. Which is understandable as community banks and credit unions have built their brands and their reputations on their ability to forge honest, transparent relationships—getting to know their customers and members in ways bigger lenders could only dream of.

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Borrowers expect to feel “known” across every channel; they want the same feeling of 1:1 personalization at every touchpoint. And it’s becoming a genuine challenge for smaller lenders to juggle all the information and orchestrate these hyper-personalized omnichannel experiences.

Using Customer Intelligence + marketing automation to enhance personal borrower relationships

More and more credit unions and community banks are turning to data-driven, tech-enabled strategies to complement—not replace—their personal relationships with borrowers. We’ve seen smaller lenders have tremendous success with Customer Intelligence and our dynamic, automated Journeys because they:

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  • Highlight life events as critical engagement opportunities: Customer Intelligence helps smaller lenders go beyond traditional intent signals, recognizing key life events or milestones (graduating, getting married, starting a family, changing careers, retiring, etc.) that signal shifting financial goals and new borrowing needs. This gives your LOs natural opportunities to reach out with helpful, personalized guidance.
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Measuring time-to-value in weeks, not years

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Smaller lenders driving big value: Customer Intelligence case studies

Dart Bank

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Tucson Federal Credit Union (TFCU)

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Family Savings Credit Union

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Horicon Bank

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Tech- and data-driven strategies have proven over and over that they have the ability to help deepen personal relationships for smaller credit unions and community banks. Our customers are proving that size doesn’t have to be a barrier. It can be an advantage that allows organizations to move quickly, leverage powerful tools like Customer Intelligence, and deliver authentic, personalized experiences at scale.

Learn more about Customer Intelligence and how it can drive consistent growth by enhancing your member and customer relationships.

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