Lending

Navigating a Compressed Mortgage Market: Insights from the 2023 Mortgage Industry Event Season

5 mins read
December 29, 2023
By
Mike Waterston

2023 was a challenging year for the mortgage industry as rates slowly climbed to a peak of just over 8%, and more and more borrowers opted to hold out until the tides turned. Total Expert was on-site at events—like Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Annual and Digital Mortgage—all year long to connect with thousands of mortgage professionals, discuss the challenges and opportunities ahead, and strategize ways to position each mortgage lender for success.

Total Expert Chief Lending Officer Dan Catinella was front and center to engage with mortgage leaders from across the country, and these are his big takeaways from the 2023 mortgage event season:

Industry forecast and projections

Mortgage leaders across the country eagerly awaited an update from the MBA on where the housing market is headed. According to MBA Chief Economist Michael Fratantoni, the U.S. economy has been resilient throughout 2023, but MBA is forecasting that the combination of higher interest rates, tighter credit conditions, and a depletion of pandemic-era household savings will lead to a mild recession in the first half of 2024. Purchase originations are forecast to increase 11% to $1.47 trillion next year. By loan count, total mortgage origination volume is also expected to increase by 19%, to 5.2 million loans in 2024 from 4.4 million loans in 2023.

Fratantoni believes that as the economy slows and inflation moves lower, longer-term rates will decline from current levels, helping to bring mortgage rates lower. However, the spread between mortgage and Treasury rates remains roughly 120 basis points wider than typical, due to a combination of factors. MBA’s baseline forecast is for mortgage rates to end 2024 at 6.1% and reach 5.5% by the end of 2025, as Treasury rates decline and as the spread narrows.

Market growth opportunities

As the market has compressed significantly from 2021 levels, mortgage lenders are focusing heavily on where they grow. There’s a heightened focus on recruiting efforts and ensuring their originator acquisition strategy and process is optimized heading into 2024. Leaders at lenders of all sizes are keen to combine market intelligence technology with sales and marketing automation to maximize that effort. Many lenders are also looking at their current recruiting processes and adapting it to increase their ability to attract top sales talent to their organization.

Maximizing the lifetime value of every customer

With the decline in overall mortgage originations, lenders are realizing just how many opportunities they’re leaving behind by not nurturing relationships with their existing customers. Mortgage industry customer retention rates still hover in the ~20% range, so there’s a tremendous number of untapped opportunities buried in their customer databases. As data intelligence solutions, such as Total Expert Customer Intelligence, continue to evolve, they give sales teams at mortgage lenders the upper hand by ensuring that they don’t miss out on the next opportunity to serve their customers. In addition, while real estate agents are still the primary source of purchase business, lenders have long desired to get to the customer prior to them working with an agent. These customer intelligence solutions are no longer a nice to have—they’re now table stakes to compete in this new market.

Growing the homebuyer pool

Heightened interest rates and home prices have made buying and owning a home more difficult in the middle- and lower-income bands, particularly for first-time homebuyers. The most significant barriers include debt-to-income ratios, credit quality and history, and insufficient down payment. Mortgage lenders are putting a large focus on education and advice engagement strategies to combat these areas, and ensure potential homebuyers understand what and how they need to prepare for home ownership along with the key benefits over renting.

Maximize existing tech investments

As lenders have been on a steady quest to reduce operating costs and cost per funded loan, they’ve also been evaluating their entire technology stack and determining which solutions provide a real return on investment (ROI). What many lenders have found is that they’re paying for tech that doesn’t provide a clear ROI, has very little user adoption, and they aren’t using the native automation capabilities that they’re paying for. A large focus has been put on optimizing their current tech investments, leveraging the capabilities they can enable, and ensuring they maximize the value to their organization. Mortgage lenders are also using this market to ensure they’re aligning themselves with tech partners for the future—the ones that are proving they will continue to invest and innovate, even through tough times to best support their customers. Lenders desire to work closely with their tech partners to strategize around their business objectives and execute together to solve their challenges and react quickly to the opportunities in the market.

Mortgage industry events continue to provide the best opportunities for lenders, loan officers, and marketing professionals to connect and have honest conversations about the challenges—and opportunities—we’re all facing. I learn something new at every event, but this year it became clear just how important using data and intelligence will be for the mortgage industry in 2024. Without a plan or tools to turn data into action, you won’t be able to maximize customer retention, surface new opportunities, or provide proactive education and advice to all existing and potential homeowners.  

Connect with the Total Expert team to discuss how we can help you optimize your business and be prepared to seize the opportunities in the market.  

Schedule a demo
Resources

Related posts

Partner Ecosystem

Rethinking Homeowners’ Insurance: Turning a Closing Requirement into a Strategic Advantage for Lenders

mins read
Read more

We sat down with Ross Diedrich, CEO of Covered, to explore a growing challenge and opportunity facing mortgage lenders today: homeowners’ insurance. As insurance volatility, climate risk, and rising premiums increasingly impact loan timelines and borrower affordability, lenders can no longer treat insurance as a back-office compliance task. In our conversation, Ross shared how embedded insurance experiences can transform a historically fragmented process into a strategic advantage for lenders improving borrower experience while unlocking new revenue and retention opportunities.

For most borrowers, getting a homeowners’ insurance policy has been treated as the final step in the mortgage process. A necessary requirement to confirm before closing rather than a critical component that’s integrated into the broader borrower experience. But that approach is becoming increasingly outdated.

Rising premiums, climate-related risks, and shifting carrier appetites are making insurance a much more complex part of the homebuying journey. In some markets, borrowers are facing fewer coverage options and significantly higher costs, which can disrupt closing timelines or affect loan affordability. What was once a simple compliance task is now a critical factor in the lending process.

As a result, lenders are beginning to rethink how insurance fits into each borrower's journey toward homeownership. By embedding insurance earlier in the process, lenders can reduce friction, improve borrower experiences, and unlock new opportunities for long-term engagement.

Total Expert customers can now integrate insurance solutions from Covered directly into their borrower journeys to transform a historically fragmented process into a seamless, digital experience.

Bringing insurance into the borrower journey

Traditionally, borrowers begin shopping for homeowners’ insurance late in the mortgage process, often while juggling multiple closing requirements. This timing can lead to delays, document chases, and added stress for both borrowers and loan teams.

Planning and accounting for insurance needs from the outset changes that dynamic.

With Total Expert, originators can use key borrower milestones such as loan purpose, property type, or stage in the application process to create personalized communications that include a simple “click-to-quote” experience, allowing the borrower to compare policy options from dozens of carriers in seconds.

Because the experience is integrated into the lender’s existing workflows, originators remain central to the relationship while borrowers gain a faster, easier way to secure coverage.

Once a borrower selects a policy, their contact record in Total Expert is automatically updated with key details like the carrier name, premium, and policy effective date. This eliminates manual follow-up and ensures lenders have clear visibility into the status of a critical closing requirement.  

The result is a smoother experience for borrowers and fewer administrative headaches for lenders.

Expanding coverage options in a changing market

Insurance availability is an increasing concern in many parts of the country. Some lenders have responded by building captive insurance agencies or internal brokerage capabilities to capture more of the opportunity.

While those strategies can be effective, they can also face limitations when borrowers encounter complex risk scenarios or when carrier availability varies by region. Covered helps address those gaps by providing lenders and borrowers with access to a broader insurance marketplace.

As a licensed digital insurance agency operating in all 50 states, Covered connects borrowers to more than 65 national and regional carriers. This expanded network improves the likelihood that borrowers can find bindable coverage, even in challenging or high-risk markets.

For lenders, this additional access helps reduce the risk of last-minute surprises that could jeopardize closing timelines.

Moving beyond referral links

Some lenders attempt to address insurance needs through basic referral links. While these links provide borrowers with a place to start, they often introduce new challenges.

A referral link typically sends borrowers outside the lender’s ecosystem, leaving originator teams with little visibility into the process. Documentation must still be collected and recorded manually, and lenders remain responsible for ensuring policies meet closing requirements.

A licensed, integrated insurance partner offers a much more seamless approach.

Covered manages the documentation-heavy aspects of the process, delivering evidence of insurance, declaration pages, and invoices directly back to the lender. Licensed U.S.-based agents also provide expert support to help borrowers navigate complex underwriting conditions and ensure policies are successfully bound before closing.

This combination of technology and specialized expertise helps lenders maintain visibility while simplifying the borrower experience.

A long-term opportunity beyond closing

Perhaps the biggest opportunity lies beyond the initial mortgage transaction.

Unlike many financial products, homeowners’ insurance renews annually. That renewal cycle creates an ongoing opportunity for lenders to stay connected with borrowers and provide meaningful value over time.

By monitoring renewal activity, lenders can proactively identify borrowers experiencing premium spikes and help them shop for better coverage options before costs escalate. This can help prevent “escrow shock,” reduce the likelihood of lender-placed insurance events, and strengthen borrower trust.

Insurance insights can also support refinance recapture strategies. Rising premiums increase borrowers’ monthly payments and can push debt-to-income ratios higher. Helping borrowers find insurance savings may restore refinance eligibility and preserve opportunities that might otherwise be lost.

Even simple campaigns such as automated loan anniversary reminders to review insurance policies can help lenders remain relevant long after closing.

Turning insurance into a strategic advantage

Borrowers who shop through Covered often uncover meaningful savings opportunities— averaging roughly $1,240 annually—by comparing policies across multiple carriers.

But the true value lies in the experience lenders can deliver.

By embedding insurance directly into the borrower journey through Total Expert, lenders can streamline closing workflows, reduce operational friction, and create new opportunities to engage borrowers throughout the life of the loan.

What was once treated as a routine closing requirement is quickly becoming a strategic advantage for lenders focused on delivering modern, customer-first homeownership experiences.

Technology

[Lykken on Lending] The Next Evolution of Total Expert

mins read
Read more

Total Expert Chief Lending Officer Dan Catinella joined the Lykken on Lending podcast to discuss what’s next for Total Expert, and more importantly, what’s next for lenders who are serious about growing their business in 2026 and beyond. At the core of this next evolution is a powerful shift in mindset: if you still think of your CRM as a static database, you’re already behind. Dan outlined how Total Expert has evolved into a true Customer Operating System that continuously enriches and refreshes contact data to give originators real-time context around credit position, tappable equity, rate opportunities, and life events.

From there, the conversation moved into the practical impact of that intelligence. With Customer IQ embedded across the platform, lenders can identify who to contact, when to engage, and what opportunity to present with personalized messaging. Total Expert's marketing automation and agentic AI will work seamlessly behind the scenes to help lenders engage faster, more effectively, and at scale. Dan also shared how our AI Sales Assistant extends the capacity of every originator, conducting human-like outreach, qualifying opportunities, and even scheduling meetings directly on a loan officer’s calendar. It’s not about replacing the originator, it’s about empowering them to focus on advice, relationships, and conversion while technology handles the prospecting and follow-up that too often falls through the cracks.

If you’re thinking about borrower retention, refinance waves, or how to compete in a market where speed and personalization matter more than ever, this is a conversation you won’t want to miss. Dan and David explored how data intelligence, automation, and AI are converging to create a new growth engine for lenders that's built not on isolated transactions, but on the consistent engagement that deepens relationships and earns customers for life.

Catch the conversation

Loan Officer

Lead Management: Turn Every Lead into an Opportunity

mins read
Read more

In today’s mortgage market, every lead matters more than ever. Acquisition costs are up, margins are tight, and borrower expectations are shifting. So, lenders who don’t prioritize follow-up, still rely on disconnected systems, and don’t have complete visibility of their pipeline will continue to watch high-quality opportunities slip away.

Many mortgage organizations are still managing leads across spreadsheets, point solutions, or legacy systems that can't connect opportunity tracking with their sales and marketing engagement. The result? Inconsistent follow-up, negative customer experiences, overwhelmed loan officers, and revenue left on the table.

Total Expert Lead Management is a purpose-built, in-platform solution designed to help lenders capture, route, and advance borrower opportunities faster and more consistently—without adding another system to manage.

A dedicated lead management system makes all the difference

Speed-to-lead is a competitive advantage

Serious borrowers are eager to move quickly, and the lender who engages them first often wins their business. But manual lead assignments and inconsistent follow-ups slow teams down. Lead Management ensures leads are automatically captured, assigned, and acted on—so loan officers can engage borrowers while intent is still high and keep the conversation moving forward.

Loan officers are spread thin

Most loan officers juggle dozens of active conversations across emails, texts, and phone. But when lead data lives somewhere else (like a spreadsheet or notepad), things fall through the cracks. Lead Management brings leads directly into the Total Expert contact record, giving loan officers a clear, prioritized view of who to engage and when. Coupled with our integrated marketing automation capabilities, loan officers can connect with new leads and opportunities faster and with more personalized messaging.

Marketing and sales need to work as one

Marketing teams generate demand, but without visibility into what happens next, optimization stalls. Lead Management closes the loop by connecting lead sources, engagement activity, and outcomes, so marketing and sales operate from a shared system of record.

Manual processes kill pipeline velocity

Spreadsheets, inbox triage, and one-off workflows don’t scale. Lead Management replaces manual steps with rule-based routing, standardized lead stages, and automated engagement to help lenders move faster without sacrificing consistency or compliance.

A contact-first approach to lead management

Unlike off-the-shelf tools and horizontal CRMs, Lead Management is contact-centric by design. Leads live within the contact record, not in a disconnected pipeline. That means every email, text, or phone conversation is tied together in one place with a full engagement history.

This gives loan officers context, not just tasks, and it gives leaders a real-time view of pipeline health across teams.

What makes Total Expert Lead Management different?

Unified lead intake

Lenders can input leads manually or in bulk from multiple sources, with built-in contact matching and deduplication to keep records clean and accurate.

Intelligent, rule-based routing

Leads are automatically assigned based on your chosen routing policies, such as round robin, fallback rules, or source-based logic. This ensures that every lead is connected with the right loan officer at the right time.

Standardized lead stages & tracking

With consistent lead stages and activity tracking, teams can quickly see where every opportunity sits within their pipeline, while a built-in activity log supports operational oversight and compliance needs.

Automated engagement with Journeys

Lead Management integrates seamlessly with Total Expert Journeys, triggering personalized outreach based on lead creation, updates, or stage changes. Follow-up happens automatically, so loan officers don’t have to rely on memory or manual tasks.

Assignment queues & visibility

Unrouteable leads don’t disappear. Assignment queues ensure nothing is lost and give loan officer teams a chance to engage the lead to gather more information. Visual pipelines and reporting give leaders insight into performance, conversion, and bottlenecks.

Source & referral attribution

Understand where your best leads come from. Lead Management captures source and “referred-by” data, helping lenders optimize spend, strengthen partnerships, and double down on what works.

Streamline workflows and boost productivity

The problem isn’t always a lack of leads. It’s lacking a system to effectively engage and nurture the leads you have.

With Lead Management, loan officers can:

  • See all leads in one place, tied directly to the contact record
  • Prioritize high-intent borrowers using standardized stages
  • Trigger or rely on automated Journeys for consistent follow-up
  • Spend less time tracking leads and more time advising borrowers

The result is fewer missed opportunities, faster response times, and more productive selling time.

Deliver proactive engagement at scale

For sales leaders and operations teams, Lead Management delivers control without complexity.

Leaders gain:

  • Real-time visibility into pipeline health and performance
  • Consistent lead handling across branches and teams
  • Confidence that every lead is being acted on quickly and compliantly
  • A scalable foundation that grows with volume changes

By unifying routing, engagement, and reporting on a single platform, lenders can scale efficiently without adding redundant tools or increasing overhead.

From first lead to customer for life

Every lead is so much more than a transaction. They’re a chance to build a long-term relationship that grows your business and builds your brand. When lead routing and reporting is disconnected from engagement, those opportunities slip through cracks you can't even see.

Because Lead Management is fully integrated with the Total Expert platform, including Customer Intelligence and Journeys, lenders can begin building loyalty from the very first interaction. That means better experiences today—and stronger retention, repeat business, and referrals tomorrow.

See Total Expert
in action

Create sustainable growth and increase loyalty with a customer engagement platform that’s purpose-built for financial institutions.