Customer Engagement

The Ultimate Refi Customer Journey For 2021-22

5 mins read
September 8, 2021
By
Total Expert

America’s mortgage refi market has 1.98 million more units for lenders now than when 2021 began, but refis still drop very sharply next year. Below, we cover three refi playbooks that enable you to win refi market share and deliver the ultimate refi journey. Let’s start by looking at the market shift that’s coming.

Latest Refi Stats  

In our LinkedIn Live session, we discussed how 2021 has turned out to be a great refi year but 2022 is the opposite. As 2021 has progressed, rates dropped and refi projections rose in reaction to persistent COVID economic risk and removal of FHFA’s adverse market fee.

Current MBA projections call for $1.9 trillion of refi volume this year, which is 19% less than $2.4 trillion last year, but is $790 billion more than the MBA’s January 2021 refi projection.

Now let’s look at refi units to see how many actual refi deals are available to you. Last year’s HMDA data showed 9.18 million refi units closed in 2020. If we divide these refi units by 262,284 licensed loan officers who closed refis last year, that’s 35 refi closings per loan officer.

The MBA predicts 2022 refi units will be down 78% compared to 2020. If true, this would mean there’s only 8 refi closings per loan officer in 2022.

With this in mind, let’s cover three refi playbooks to improve customer journeys and win more market share: (1) speed and precision on rate/term refis, (2) the golden age of debt consolidation, and (3) capturing the home improvement trend.

Playbook 1: Speed & Precision on Rate/Term Refis

Per MBA estimates, there have been about 2.83 million home purchase units funded in America so far in 2021 (January to July), and rates were 0.25% to 0.375% higher in four of these 7 months. To target rate/term refis for these folks, you need 4 things: precision borrower targeting, real-time rate comparisons, early payoff (EPO) risk analysis built in (to avoid fee recapture for refinancing purchase loans closed in the last 180 days), and automated engagement for each individual borrower profile.

Below is a two-step process showing how Total Expert’s real-time data enables fast action for your salesforce and your customers.

The below shows a Total Expert Opportunities tool that lets sales teams target and filter borrower refi scenarios in real-time. It’s tied into the pricing engine for each loan officer’s pricing so the quotes are precise, and some Total Expert customers configure it to screen out EPOs to control costs.

The second image shows the importance of an automated, personalized customer journey to make your salesforce productive. After your loan officers filter their refi targets, outreach can be automatic based on how you configure. This example shows a refi email campaign deployed, campaign analytics in real time, and customer-level lists so your team can engage with each customer as they interact with campaigns.

This is how you can power your salesforce to develop an entire refi pipeline by pushing a few buttons.

Playbook 2: Golden Age of Responsible Cash Out Refis

We’re now entering a golden age of responsible cash out refis for a few reasons.

First, according to Black Knight, U.S. homeowners now have an all-time record of $8.1 trillion in tappable equity (which means equity that can be taken out before exceeding 80% combined loan-to-value ratio).

Second, non-housing debt is now double its 2004 levels at $4.19 trillion, as shown in the table below. This student loan, auto loan, credit card, and other debt (personal loans, etc.) mostly has higher rates than mortgage rates. Because of record equity, many borrower profiles can consolidate this debt into a new mortgage without creating loan-to-value ratio risk for themselves or the housing system.

Third, borrower profiles are very strong overall. The below table shows that debt-to-income ratios of recent homebuyers are in the 36 – 37% range, and credit scores of millennials, Gen X, and Baby Boomers are all favorable. In many cases, debt consolidation actually improves these profiles because moving higher rate non-housing debt to housing debt lowers monthly costs, and improves credit scores.

Debt consolidation is truly one of the ultimate customer journeys for 2021-22, and Total Expert powers you to target debt consolidation customers.

Playbook 3: Powering the Home Improvement Trend

Total Expert powers you to engage your customers using their homes, and take immediate action based on how people are engaging with their homes.

People’s emotional connections are with their homes, and according to the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, homeowners will spend $433 billion on home improvement this year.

We integrate many valuation/home engagement tools, and the example shows how you can power instant remodel planning, and make loan offers at the same time.

The great part about this is that even if your customer didn’t click on the loan officer contact button when modeling out home improvement ideas, their actions still carry into Total Expert, so you can choose to create automated journeys to follow up on these actions. Or you can create alerts and/or Focused View daily to-do lists for your loan officers to follow up with customers on these actions.

Through these three playbooks, lenders can win refi market share and deliver the ultimate refi journey.

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Partner Ecosystem

Credit Challenges Don’t Have to Mean Lost Borrowers

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Meet the Partner: CredEvolv

CredEvolv connects low-credit/high-debt consumers, mortgage lenders, and HUD-certified nonprofit credit counselors in a unified ecosystem. 1 in 3 Americans lack the credit score to qualify for a mortgage. CredEvolv works to change that by providing a structured path to help credit-challenged borrowers improve their scores—and debt load—and become loan-ready in as little as three months. For mortgage lenders specifically, CredEvolv closes a common gap in the lending process and turns declined applicants into future qualified borrowers rather than lost opportunities.

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For mortgage lenders, credit challenges represent one of the most persistent and overlooked barriers to growth.

Every year, roughly 1.4 million mortgage applications are declined because of credit or debt-related issues, representing more than $300 billion in unrealized lending opportunities. But many of these borrowers are closer to qualifying for a loan than lenders realize. With the right guidance, many can improve their credit profile, reduce debt pressure, and return to the market application ready.  

That reality creates a major challenge for lenders.

Too often, once a borrower falls outside current underwriting requirements, the relationship hits a dead end. The loan officer may know the borrower could qualify in the future, but there is rarely a structured, scalable way to stay engaged, provide the right education, and track progress without creating workflow friction. As a result, these borrowers slip out of sight and often into the hands of competitors or third-party credit repair services.

This is exactly the kind of untapped opportunity that Total Expert and CredEvolv help lenders act on.

Turning yesterday’s denial into tomorrow’s approval

CredEvolv is a fintech platform that connects credit- or debt-challenged consumers with HUD-certified nonprofit credit counselors to help them improve their credit scores and become loan-ready, while keeping them engaged with lenders. The value here isn't just the counseling itself. It’s the ability to keep those borrowers connected to the lender’s relationship and communication strategy instead of pushing them out of the pipeline entirely.  

Historically, lenders have had limited options for supporting borrowers who are close to qualifying but need time and guidance. Many solutions in the market operate outside the lender’s main workflow, creating friction for teams and confusion for consumers. That can break continuity with the loan officer, limit visibility into borrower progress, and make follow-up inconsistent. CredEvolv was built to solve that problem by helping transform a declined or delayed loan into a managed pipeline opportunity.  

Because CredEvolv integrates directly into Total Expert, those opportunities become easier to operationalize at scale.

Bringing credit improvement into the main workflow

The real power of the CredEvolv and Total Expert partnership is that it helps lenders move credit-improvement communications and nurturing into the same system where they already manage customer engagement.

Instead of treating credit-challenged borrowers as exceptions that sit outside normal sales and marketing motions, lenders can identify those borrowers, connect them to trusted nonprofit counseling, and continue relevant communication inside their existing workflow. That means fewer handoff gaps, better visibility, and a more consistent borrower experience.  

For lenders, this is important at three critical moments:

  • Before an application begins, when early conversations suggest credit or debt may become an obstacle.
  • After a soft credit pull, when signs of qualification challenges become more visible.
  • After a HMDA-recorded decline, when many borrowers may still be closer to qualifying than they appear.  

In each of these moments, the opportunity is the same: keep the borrower engaged, educated, and moving forward with a clear plan.

That aligns directly with Total Expert’s broader approach to customer engagement—using intelligence and workflow orchestration to help lenders show up in the moments that matter and prevent opportunities from slipping through the cracks. Total Expert Customer Intelligence includes Credit Improvement Alerts that identify when a borrower who initially didn’t qualify now meets your organization’s required credit criteria. From January-June 2025, credit improvement was one of the most monitored signals helping lenders uncover new application and funded-loan opportunities through Total Expert.

Why early engagement matters

When lenders identify warning signs early, the conversation with the borrower changes.

Instead of ending with “you’re not approved,” it can become: “here’s what needs to happen to get you there.”  

Some of the most common indicators include high credit utilization, recent late payments, thin or unstable credit history, rising debt-to-income pressure, and scores near underwriting cutoffs. These are not always signs that a borrower is out of reach. More often, they are signals that the borrower needs education, accountability, and a structured path forward.  

That is where CredEvolv plays a critical role. Through its network of nonprofit counseling partners, borrowers receive realistic guidance tailored to their situation.  

  • Consumers who work with CredEvolv’s nonprofit counseling agencies reach their goals in an average of three to five months, often improving their credit scores by 40 to 100+ points while reducing utilization and resolving delinquent accounts that were preventing approval.  
  • Lenders that use CredEvolv’s recommended best practices also report seeing pull-through rates up to 50% on borrowers who enroll with a credit counselor.  

A better experience for borrowers and a better process for lenders

For borrowers, the experience is more supportive and less transactional. They’re not left to figure things out alone. They're shown a path forward, supported with education from a trusted source, and given a reason to stay connected to the lender that first engaged them.

For lenders, the advantage is operational. Rather than relying on manual follow-up, disconnected vendors, or inconsistent loan officer outreach, they can keep Credit Improvement Journeys closer to the core relationship strategy. That helps teams maintain visibility, reduce lost opportunities, and make sure borrowers working toward qualification don’t get left behind.  

This is especially valuable in an environment where lenders are under pressure to do more with the opportunities already in their database. Recovering even a fraction of borrowers who would otherwise be lost can create meaningful pipeline lift without relying solely on new lead acquisition.

From dead end to pipeline strategy

Credit-challenged borrowers should never be written off. For many lenders, they represent one of the most overlooked business growth opportunities.

Together, CredEvolv and Total Expert help lenders turn what used to be a dead end into a more structured recovery strategy: identify credit-challenged borrowers earlier, connect them with trusted counseling resources, keep communication active inside the lender’s main workflow, and re-engage them when they’re ready to move forward.  

That’s the difference between simply declining a borrower and building a process to win them back. And in a market where every opportunity matters, that difference can be significant. A small change in your organization’s mindset and workflow could be the life-changing support that a borrower needs, and that they won’t forget.

AI

AI in Mortgage Lending: Joe Welu on Turning Customer Intelligence into Action

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*This article was originally posted on HousingWire.com*

Artificial intelligence is rapidly moving beyond experimentation and into real business impact across the mortgage industry. In this executive conversation, Total Expert CEO and Founder Joe Welu sat down with Allison LaForgia to explore how lenders can turn AI from a buzzword into a competitive advantage.

Welu explains why understanding borrower intent is becoming one of the most powerful competitive advantages in lending. From millions of AI-powered conversations to the growing importance of trust and compliance, the discussion explores how lenders can use AI to create smarter, more personalized customer journeys.

There’s really two types of companies,” Welu said. Some are “moving from experimentation and pilots into full scale. Let’s transform the business. Let’s build the future.”

Others, he said, are still “treading lightly and cautiously” as they try to determine “what’s the right formula for their organization to really adopt it.

What is clear to Welu is that the stakes are rising fast. “There’s an extreme bifurcation happening in really every business right now,” he said. “There’s not going to be this middle anymore. There’s going to be very clear winners, the people that are getting ahead of it.

In his view, lenders that make AI a strategic priority are already “getting a lot of ROI and impact,” while others are “certainly falling behind.

Welu said Total Expert’s approach is different because it starts with intelligence and context, not just automation. “AI agents are very, very powerful,” he said, because “it actually can do the task, it can call the customer, it can send the note, complete something that a human would have had to complete.

But that power only works if the underlying context is right. “You’re only going to get the outcomes that you want if you have the right insight, intelligence and, more importantly, context that is feeding those AI agents,” he said. “Combining these systems of intelligence directly with a system of action is really how you transform the outcomes you want in your business.

That is where Customer IQ comes in. Welu described it as “this intelligence layer that has all this context,” helping lenders understand “what’s important now” for each borrower.

Intent, he said, is rarely one signal alone. Rather, it is “a series of things that are put together” like equity, demographics and life events like getting married, having children, or downsizing.

The goal is to understand “what is this customer really caring about at this moment” and then meet them there “with the voice, the empathy, the education.

On the engagement side, Welu said Total Expert’s AI Sales Assistant is already providing scale and insight into how borrowers want to interact. “We’re on pace this year to do over 130 million voice AI agents,” he said.

Those conversations, he added, show that AI can often improve the front end of the experience. “They actually, as it turns out, maybe not shocking, listen better than our average sales people,” he said. “They have perfect memory, so they always remember the last conversation.

When rate opportunities open, it creates “infinite ability” to reach borrowers quickly, while still handing off qualified consumers to human advisors at the right time.

For Welu, the future is not AI replacing people, but AI and humans working together throughout the borrower lifecycle. “The consumers really have just overwhelmingly voiced positive” feedback, he said, while loan officers gain more time to focus on advice instead of repetitive outreach. “

AI plus humans are going to really redefine what a perfect customer journey is,” Welu said. “I think it’s just going to raise the bar.”

Partner Ecosystem

Rethinking Homeowners’ Insurance: Turning a Closing Requirement into a Strategic Advantage for Lenders

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We sat down with Ross Diedrich, CEO of Covered, to explore a growing challenge and opportunity facing mortgage lenders today: homeowners’ insurance. As insurance volatility, climate risk, and rising premiums increasingly impact loan timelines and borrower affordability, lenders can no longer treat insurance as a back-office compliance task. In our conversation, Ross shared how embedded insurance experiences can transform a historically fragmented process into a strategic advantage for lenders improving borrower experience while unlocking new revenue and retention opportunities.

For most borrowers, getting a homeowners’ insurance policy has been treated as the final step in the mortgage process. A necessary requirement to confirm before closing rather than a critical component that’s integrated into the broader borrower experience. But that approach is becoming increasingly outdated.

Rising premiums, climate-related risks, and shifting carrier appetites are making insurance a much more complex part of the homebuying journey. In some markets, borrowers are facing fewer coverage options and significantly higher costs, which can disrupt closing timelines or affect loan affordability. What was once a simple compliance task is now a critical factor in the lending process.

As a result, lenders are beginning to rethink how insurance fits into each borrower's journey toward homeownership. By embedding insurance earlier in the process, lenders can reduce friction, improve borrower experiences, and unlock new opportunities for long-term engagement.

Total Expert customers can now integrate insurance solutions from Covered directly into their borrower journeys to transform a historically fragmented process into a seamless, digital experience.

Bringing insurance into the borrower journey

Traditionally, borrowers begin shopping for homeowners’ insurance late in the mortgage process, often while juggling multiple closing requirements. This timing can lead to delays, document chases, and added stress for both borrowers and loan teams.

Planning and accounting for insurance needs from the outset changes that dynamic.

With Total Expert, originators can use key borrower milestones such as loan purpose, property type, or stage in the application process to create personalized communications that include a simple “click-to-quote” experience, allowing the borrower to compare policy options from dozens of carriers in seconds.

Because the experience is integrated into the lender’s existing workflows, originators remain central to the relationship while borrowers gain a faster, easier way to secure coverage.

Once a borrower selects a policy, their contact record in Total Expert is automatically updated with key details like the carrier name, premium, and policy effective date. This eliminates manual follow-up and ensures lenders have clear visibility into the status of a critical closing requirement.  

The result is a smoother experience for borrowers and fewer administrative headaches for lenders.

Expanding coverage options in a changing market

Insurance availability is an increasing concern in many parts of the country. Some lenders have responded by building captive insurance agencies or internal brokerage capabilities to capture more of the opportunity.

While those strategies can be effective, they can also face limitations when borrowers encounter complex risk scenarios or when carrier availability varies by region. Covered helps address those gaps by providing lenders and borrowers with access to a broader insurance marketplace.

As a licensed digital insurance agency operating in all 50 states, Covered connects borrowers to more than 65 national and regional carriers. This expanded network improves the likelihood that borrowers can find bindable coverage, even in challenging or high-risk markets.

For lenders, this additional access helps reduce the risk of last-minute surprises that could jeopardize closing timelines.

Moving beyond referral links

Some lenders attempt to address insurance needs through basic referral links. While these links provide borrowers with a place to start, they often introduce new challenges.

A referral link typically sends borrowers outside the lender’s ecosystem, leaving originator teams with little visibility into the process. Documentation must still be collected and recorded manually, and lenders remain responsible for ensuring policies meet closing requirements.

A licensed, integrated insurance partner offers a much more seamless approach.

Covered manages the documentation-heavy aspects of the process, delivering evidence of insurance, declaration pages, and invoices directly back to the lender. Licensed U.S.-based agents also provide expert support to help borrowers navigate complex underwriting conditions and ensure policies are successfully bound before closing.

This combination of technology and specialized expertise helps lenders maintain visibility while simplifying the borrower experience.

A long-term opportunity beyond closing

Perhaps the biggest opportunity lies beyond the initial mortgage transaction.

Unlike many financial products, homeowners’ insurance renews annually. That renewal cycle creates an ongoing opportunity for lenders to stay connected with borrowers and provide meaningful value over time.

By monitoring renewal activity, lenders can proactively identify borrowers experiencing premium spikes and help them shop for better coverage options before costs escalate. This can help prevent “escrow shock,” reduce the likelihood of lender-placed insurance events, and strengthen borrower trust.

Insurance insights can also support refinance recapture strategies. Rising premiums increase borrowers’ monthly payments and can push debt-to-income ratios higher. Helping borrowers find insurance savings may restore refinance eligibility and preserve opportunities that might otherwise be lost.

Even simple campaigns such as automated loan anniversary reminders to review insurance policies can help lenders remain relevant long after closing.

Turning insurance into a strategic advantage

Borrowers who shop through Covered often uncover meaningful savings opportunities— averaging roughly $1,240 annually—by comparing policies across multiple carriers.

But the true value lies in the experience lenders can deliver.

By embedding insurance directly into the borrower journey through Total Expert, lenders can streamline closing workflows, reduce operational friction, and create new opportunities to engage borrowers throughout the life of the loan.

What was once treated as a routine closing requirement is quickly becoming a strategic advantage for lenders focused on delivering modern, customer-first homeownership experiences.

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